What Is Biden’s Endgame in the Debt-Ceiling Standoff? - The Administration is examining all its options to avoid a technical default should there be no agreement by the “X-Date.” - link
How to Find a Missing Person with Dementia - Searching for people with cognitive disabilities presents special challenges. Can we solve them? - link
Why the Pro-Life Movement Can’t Quit Trump - The former President is less committed than the other 2024 G.O.P. front-runners on the subject of abortion. Shouldn’t advocates of tighter restrictions be jumping ship? - link
Why Masha Gessen Resigned from the PEN America Board - A conversation about balancing free-speech commitments in an era of war. - link
Battle Rap’s Unwoke Representation Politics - Even if the point of battle rap is trading increasingly offensive insults, the whole thing functions on a certain system of trust. - link
The new Indiana Jones movie hits different in the IP age.
In 1981’s Indiana Jones and the Raiders of the Lost Ark, the mercenary archaeologist René Belloq looks his friend-turned-foe Indiana Jones square in the eye and tells him the absolute truth. “Indiana,” he says, “we are simply passing through history.” They’re discussing the treasure they seek: the Ark of the Covenant, which might be just a valuable old artifact or might be the home of the Hebrew God, who knows. “This — this is history.”
Humans die. Civilizations pass away. Artifacts, however, remain. They tell us who we were, and who we still are.
History — the pursuit of it, the commodification of it, our universal fate to live inside of it — is Indiana Jones’s obsession, and that theme bleeds right off the screen and onto us. After all, Raiders was released 42 years ago, before I was born, and the fifth and final film (or so we’re told anyhow), Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny, just premiered at the Cannes Film Festival, due to arrive in theaters this summer. Watch it at this moment in time, and you’re reminded that you, too, are passing through history. Those movie stars are looking a lot older.
This is a series preoccupied with time and its cousin, mortality, from the characters’ relentless pursuit of the ancient world’s secrets to the poignancy of Jones’s relationships. His adventures are frequently preceded by the revelation that someone or something in his life has died — a friend, a family member, a relationship. Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade, released in 1989, makes the fact of death especially moving, with its plot point turning on immortality and the Holy Grail. More humorously, cobweb-draped skeletons are strewn liberally throughout the series, reminding us that other explorers and other civilizations have attempted what Indiana is trying to do. He’s just another in a string of adventurers, one who happens to be really good at throwing a punch.
Dial of Destiny feels like an emphatic period at the end of a very long sentence, a sequel making its own case against some future further resurrection — not unlike last year’s Cannes blockbuster premiere, Top Gun: Maverick, or 2021’s fourth installment of The Matrix. That’s not just because Harrison Ford is turning 81 this summer. It’s in the text; Dial of Destiny argues, explicitly, that you have to leave the past in the past, that the only way to ensure the world continues is to put one foot down and then another, moving into the future.
Ironic, yes, for a movie built on giant piles of nostalgia and made by a company that proudly spends most of its money nibbling its own tail. In fact, the entire Indiana Jones concept was nostalgia-driven even before the fedora made its big-screen debut. Harrison Ford’s whip-cracking adventurer descends from swashbuckling heroes of pulp stories and matinee serials that George Lucas and Steven Spielberg loved as kids; like that other franchise Ford launched, the Indy series is both original and pastiche, both contemporary-feeling and set in another time, another place, a world that’s far, far away.
Dial of Destiny is loaded with related ironies, though they’re mostly extratextual. On the screen, it’s fairly straightforward: a sentimental vehicle, one that hits familiar beats and tells familiar jokes, comfort food to make you feel like a kid again for a little while. The Indiana Jones movies, even the bad ones, have always been pretty fun to watch in a cartoon-movie kind of way, while also being aggressively just fine as films — I mean that with fond enthusiasm — and Dial of Destiny fits the bill perfectly.
This installment turns on pieces of a dial created by the Greek mathematician Archimedes, which, like most of the relics that pop up in Indy’s universe, may or may not bestow godlike powers on its wielder. Naturally, the Nazis want it, especially Hitler. So the film opens in 1939, with Indy (a de-aged Ford, though unfortunately nobody thought to sufficiently de-age his voice) fighting Jürgen Voller (Mads Mikkelsen) to nab it while getting out of one of his signature high-octane scrapes via a familiar combo of costume changes, well-aimed punches, acrobatics, and dumb luck. Then we jump forward to 1969, to discover a very much not de-aged Indy collapsed into his armchair in front of the TV, shirtless and in boxers, snoozing and clutching the dregs of a beer. This is a movie about getting old, after all.
You can deduce the rest — old friends and new, tricks and turns, mysteries, maybe some time travel, the question of whether the magic is real. Phoebe Waller-Bridge is in this movie as Helena Shaw, Jones’s archaeologist goddaughter, and injects it with some much-needed joie de vivre. There are some fun chase scenes, though director James Mangold’s visual sense (richly demonstrated in previous films like Logan and Ford v Ferrari) falls a little flat next to the memory of Steven Spielberg’s direction. But for the most part, it’s all here again. I don’t want to spoil your fun.
Yet a thread that’s run through the whole four-decade series, with heightened irony every time it comes up, is the battle between Indy — who firmly believes that history’s relics ought to be in a museum for everyone to enjoy — and fortune-seeking mercenaries or power-seeking Nazis, who want to privately acquire those artifacts for their own reasons. (Leaving the artifact where it is, perhaps even among its people, still doesn’t really seem to be an option.) It’s a mirror for the very real theft of artifacts throughout history by invading or colonizing forces, the taking of someone else’s culture for your own use or to assert your own dominance. That battle crops up again in this installment, with both mercenaries and Nazis on offer. Shaw, voicing a darker archaeological aim, wryly insists that thieving is just capitalism, and that cash is the only thing worth believing in; Voller’s aims are much darker.
It’s all very fitting in a movie about an archaeologist set in the midcentury. But you have to notice the weird Hollywood resonance. When Raiders first hit the big screen, it was always intended to be the first in a series, much like Lucas and Spielberg’s beloved childhood serials. (The pair in fact made their initial Indiana Jones deal with Paramount for five movies.) But while some bits (and chunks) of the 1980s films have aged pretty badly, they endure in part because they’re remixes that are alive with imagination and even whimsy, the product so clearly of some guys who wanted to play around with the kinds of stories they loved as children.
Now, in the IP era, remixing is a fraught endeavor. The gatekeepers, owners and fans alike, are often very cranky. The producers bank on more of the same, not the risk of a new idea. The artifacts belong to them, and they call the shots, and tell you when you can have access or not. (The evening Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny opened at Cannes, Disney — already infamously known for locking its animation away in a vault and burying the work of companies it acquires — announced it would start removing dozens of its own series from its streamers.) Rather than move into the future and support some new sandboxes, the Hollywood of today mostly maniacally rehashes what it’s already done. It envisions a future where what’s on offer is mostly what we’ve already had before.
In this I hear echoes of thinkers like Theodor Adorno and Max Horkheimer — two men who fled the Nazis, incidentally — who proposed the culture industry was giving people the illusion of choice, but only the freedom to choose what they said was on offer. You can have infinite variations on the same thing.
It’s a sentiment strangely echoed in Dial of Destiny. One night, Shaw is doing a card trick for some sailors, who are astounded that when they call out the seven of clubs, that’s what they pull out of the deck. But she shows Indy how she does it — by forcing the card on them, without them realizing. “I offer the feeling of choice, but I ultimately make you pick the one I want,” she explains, with a wry grin.
After 40 years and change, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny releases into a world where there’s more stuff than ever to watch, but somehow it feels like we have less choice, less chance of discovery. It is our moment in history — an artifact of what it was to be alive right now. When the historians of the future look back, I have to wonder what they’ll see, and thus who, in the end, they’ll think we really were.
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny premiered at the Cannes Film Festival and opens in theaters on June 30.
The case for optimism vs. the case for pessimism on the chances of default, explained.
There have been few signs of progress in negotiations between President Joe Biden and the House GOP over raising the debt ceiling this week, as the “X-date” at which the government will be unable to pay its bills, and the accompanying prospect of economic turmoil, draws nearer.
And Republicans’ public comments suggest they’re digging in. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has been insisting this week that the only “concession” House Republicans will offer to Democrats is raising the debt ceiling — hardly a concession. Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-NC), a GOP negotiator, said he’s “not yet an optimist on us getting this resolved.”
And on Wednesday afternoon, House leaders said members could leave Washington for Memorial Day weekend, suggesting a deal isn’t imminent. (McCarthy has also said that he’ll abide by a House rule saying the chamber must wait 72 hours after a bill is introduced before voting on it.)
If you take this at face value, it sounds terrifying. But should you?
The markets evidently think you shouldn’t. Stock traders’ apparent view is that this is all just posturing, and that a deal will be struck.
Because that’s how it always goes with debt ceiling brinkmanship. “Debt Ceiling Drama is Political Theater, Not an Existential Crisis,” a headline in the financial website TheStreet reads. In Washington, too, it’s hard to find many who will outright predict a default is the likely outcome.
That’s because, in a high-stakes, adversarial negotiation with an impending deadline, it’s common for both sides to dig in until the last minute, trying to drive as hard a bargain as possible. (Take Fox’s settlement with Dominion, reached just as a trial in the defamation lawsuit the voting machine company brought against the network was about to begin.)
Capitol Hill watchers frequently see this dynamic play out in Congress, where negotiators often loudly insist there’s no deal until, at the end of a prolonged process, one suddenly materializes:
How deals sometimes come together in Congress: NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO! REBOOT. MAYBE? NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO YES!
— Steven Dennis (@StevenTDennis) July 27, 2022
A default wouldn’t really be in anyone’s interest. Kevin McCarthy doesn’t want a default. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell doesn’t want a default. Rich Republican donors don’t want a default that would likely cause economic chaos and make them a lot poorer.
What Republicans want is a deal. President Biden wants a deal too. So, this thinking goes, probably, they’ll come up with one.
There’s also a more pessimistic take.
The key difference between optimists and pessimists is that the optimists have more faith in the competence and reasonableness of Speaker McCarthy, and the rationality of the GOP generally.
When House Republicans make absurd demands, the optimists interpret that as tough negotiating. When McCarthy sounds unreasonable in public, the optimists think he’s just trying to sound tough for the GOP base, to convince them he’s fighting as hard as he can — but that he actually really is, in good faith, seeking a deal. They think the adults are in charge of the House GOP.
The pessimists, who are generally on the left, would suggest a few points in response.
1) The House GOP is so extreme that McCarthy won’t be able to lock down the votes for a reasonable deal: Back when McCarthy was trying to lock down the votes for speaker, he had to bow and scrape to get the votes he needed from the hard right. One concession he made was a rules change that effectively makes it easier to force a no-confidence vote in his leadership.
To avoid that, some believe, he’ll pander even more to the far right, making sure to get their blessing on any deal. But, the argument goes, these members of Congress are so extreme and untethered from political reality that they’ll never agree to anything realistic — anything Democrats have a chance of accepting.
The optimists’ response to this would be to point out that McCarthy does not actually need the votes of the far right (any bipartisan deal is expected to lose votes from the far right and far left), and that he’d just ideally like to keep their grumbling to a minimum to prevent a revolt against his speakership. Perhaps he can do this by convincing them he fought hard for their priorities.
2) Republicans have an incentive to crash the economy and hurt Biden’s presidency: An even darker theory is that the GOP actually has no political incentive to avoid a default — indeed, they may outright want an economic crisis, assuming that Biden as the incumbent president will get the blame, and the GOP will benefit in the 2024 elections.
The optimists would respond that it’s hardly inevitable voters would blame Biden (Republican extremism, it’s now clear, did indeed hurt certain candidates in the 2022 midterms), that Republican donors’ pocketbooks would also be hurt by a market panic, and just that this is too much of an evil caricature of the other party.
3) Miscalculation or bungling could lead to a default no one wants: In adversarial negotiations with a deadline, everyone wants to signal maximal toughness until the last minute, when things suddenly get real.
But one complication about the current situation is it doesn’t seem the parties know and agree on exactly when the “X-date” — the crisis date — is. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has claimed it is “potentially as early as June 1,” but that statement is ambiguous, and some outside analysts think it will be later in June. If Republicans don’t have an accurate view of when it is, they could keep posturing until it’s too late.
More prosaically, negotiations could collapse because one side “misreads” the other, holding out for more concessions than are in the offing. This is the “incompetence scenario” for a default. And if you think McCarthy is an incompetent bungler, you may view this as disturbingly likely.
The optimistic take here would be that if a default was really truly just days away, the Biden administration would surely make that information known. Additionally, if it looks like default might really happen, an eventual market panic could bring the parties back to the table. Finally, McCarthy has been a whole lot more competent at managing his conference this year than many expected. (Then again, he hasn’t had to sell them on an unpalatable deal just yet.)
Overall, I think the optimists’ case is more convincing than the pessimists’. I think things will probably be fine.
But how certain am I of that? What are the odds that one of the pessimistic scenarios turns out to be right? Is there a 1 percent chance of disaster? 5 percent? 10 percent? I’m hesitant to put an exact number on it.
More to the point, the severe consequences of default are disturbing enough that even a low-probability chance they’ll actually happen is disquieting. Unlikely things sometimes happen!
Which is why it would be nice if Republicans dispensed with this debt ceiling nonsense and negotiated over spending without playing chicken with the global economy. But I’m not holding my breath for that.
DeSantis’s Florida bills targeting LGBTQ people, abortion rights, and teachings on race preview his presidential platform.
In launching his 2024 presidential campaign, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis promised to champion a new, expansive conservatism. To understand exactly what that would look like, you only need to look to Florida itself.
This legislative term, the governor and his fellow Republicans waged culture wars everywhere from the classroom to the bathroom to Disney World, making the state a pioneer of some of the most extreme right-wing policies in the US.
DeSantis’s legislative agenda in Florida — which he has framed as a “blueprint” for America — has targeted immigrants, LGBTQ individuals, Black Americans, and women, as well as the corporations who come to their defense. And state lawmakers have advanced DeSantis’s own political career at the expense of transparency and accountability. That’s all been done in the name of wooing an activist GOP base, which still loves former President Donald Trump and has given him a historically large lead in Republican primary polls.
“What’s been happening … in Florida should scare every single person across the entire country,” US Rep. Maxwell Frost (D-FL) said in a press call. “Gov. Ron DeSantis running for president and even being within striking distance of the Oval Office should frighten anyone who values democracy, voting rights, civil rights, freedom, and the pursuit of happiness.”
Many of the Florida laws passed this session, which concluded earlier this month, go further even than other red states. Proposals banning gender-affirming care for minors and establishing a six-week abortion ban, for example, impose harsh new restrictions that could have severe consequences on those seeking such care in the state. Immigration proposals targeting undocumented people have also inspired fear among the roughly 772,000 undocumented immigrants in the state, and prompted some to leave.
The attacks on LGBTQ rights and Black Americans via policies that restrict the teaching of systemic racism and trans people’s ability to use bathrooms have been so harsh that civil rights groups like the NAACP and Equality Florida have cautioned people against traveling to the state. Some of those groups are challenging laws DeSantis has signed in court.
DeSantis has nevertheless doubled down on those policies.
“I think that the culture wars are front and center right now. People are talking about it more than economic issues, more than national security, foreign policy. So I think DeSantis has set himself up nicely,” said Brendan Steinhauser, a GOP strategist based in Texas.
A representative for DeSantis’s office did not immediately return a request for comment.
It’s not clear that pursuing an ultraconservative agenda actually serves DeSantis politically in the long-run. Florida Republicans have legislated so far to the right that there is concern among some GOP donors that DeSantis has gone too far and alienated voters who might have otherwise supported him in a general election.
“There’s a certain anti-Trump segment of the donor class has lined up with him, but another that is still looking for a candidate,” said Robert Cahaly, senior strategist and pollster at the Trafalgar Group and former Republican political consultant.
Here’s how Florida lawmakers have enacted DeSantis’s vision this session.
DeSantis has been a key figure behind the national Republican campaign against LGBTQ rights, particularly that of children, with some of Florida’s policies being the first of their kind in the nation. Those policies serve a practical purpose for the GOP: They allow them to perform opposition to the “woke left” and ensure their social conservative backers show up to vote — even after the religious right achieved its decades-long goal of overturning Roe v. Wade last year.
As Vox’s Rachel Cohen explained, Florida is among the states that have approved a very stringent abortion ban, which significantly curbs people’s access to the procedure. It joins other Southern states in harshly curtailing reproductive rights in the region, eliminating Florida’s status as a destination for people seeking out such care.
Some Republican donors are concerned the decision to move forward with such an extreme abortion ban will cause DeSantis to face political blowback as he moves on the national stage. Although restrictions on abortion have been a chief focus of some conservative voters, voters overwhelmingly supported abortion access during the 2022 midterms, and there are signs protecting abortion access will be a salient issue in 2024.
In addition to curbing education about LGBTQ rights and identity in schools, several of the Florida legislature bills have centered on limiting discussions about diversity and race. As Vox’s Fabiola Cineas explained, such measures follow a state push to reject the teaching of the AP African American Studies course in Florida.
Legislators approved a wide-ranging slate of immigration policies, which severely limit the ability of undocumented people to both work and travel in the state. These hardline proposals are intended to establish DeSantis’s credentials on an issue national Republicans have repeatedly hammered Democrats on.
DeSantis’s proposals have been slammed by immigration advocates, who note that the policies could severely hurt the state economically and drive its residents away.
“As fear becomes the norm in immigrant communities, a lot of these migrant workers will start leaving the state and looking somewhere else,” Samuel Vilchez Santiago, the Florida state director of the American Business Immigration Coalition, told Vox’s Christian Paz.
In addition to the expansive immigration package it approved, the legislature also passed a law that’s expected to harm Chinese immigrants in the state, with some local activists also telling Vox that people are considering moving as a result.
This law has raised fears of racial profiling of Chinese immigrants in the state overall and has already been challenged in court by the ACLU for being discriminatory.
DeSantis has quietly catered to gun rights activists by loosening Florida’s gun laws and invoked what he describes as a “tough-on-crime” agenda that he has positioned as a model for the country, even though it’s not clear that crime is lower in Florida than in some of the blue cities he’s criticized.
The Florida legislature has propped up DeSantis’s battles against what he calls “woke” corporations that embrace progressive social justice policies, including Disney, the state’s largest taxpayer.
Florida legislators have passed bills changing the state’s election laws and public records requirements in a manner designed to politically benefit DeSantis.
Final call on Asia Cup venue to be taken after IPL final, says BCCI secretary Jay Shah - PCB chairman Najam Sethi had proposed a ‘hybrid model’ where they will organise at least four games on home soil and India will play their matches at a neutral venue
Premier League 2022/23 | Brighton draws 1-1 with Man City, secures Europa League qualification - Julio Enciso’s stunning goal secured Brighton’s qualification for the Europa League in a 1-1 draw against Manchester City
Not Bumrah’s replacement, just doing my job, says Madhwal - MI will back the level-headed Madhwal to step up in Qualifier-2 against Gujarat Titans
IPL 2023: GT vs MI | Upbeat Mumbai faces defending champions Gujarat in Qualifier 2 - The contest in Ahmedabad on May 26 will be the third meeting between GT and MI this season, with both teams winning one game each.
Sindhu, Prannoy enter quarterfinals of Malaysia Masters - Sindhu will face China’s Yi Man Zhang in the quarterfinals; Prannoy will next meet the winner of the match between third seed Jonatan Christie of Indonesia and Japan’s Kenta Nishimoto
HC directs HR&CE Dept. to ensure worship at Droupadi Amman temple festival without caste discrimination - Justices B. Pugalendhi and V. Lakshminarayanan pass the orders while disposing of a public interest litigation petition complaining of the Scheduled Caste people being sidelined
Bureaucratic delay is not helping the poor in Chennai’s slums, resettlements - After its first meeting in May 2022, the Chennai City Habitat Development Committee has not met again; habitat development board says several decisions taken at the meeting needed govt. approval and hence delay
ITI bags ₹3,889-cr. advance purchase order from BSNL -
BJP to hit the streets seeking implementation of Congress guarantees in Karnataka without conditions - Mysuru MP Pratap Simha said that the Congress will be given time till June 1 to implement the schemes without any strings or conditions attached
Another 2 cheetah cubs born in Kuno National Park die from “apparent dehydration and weakness” - As per the officials, the cubs died from apparent dehydration and weakness within the fenced area housing the mother and cubs
Germany falls into recession as inflation hits economy - Rising prices have dampened demand from households and businesses in Europe’s largest economy.
Ukraine war: Wagner says Bakhmut transfer to Russian army under way - The boss of the mercenary group says it is transferring control of the city to the Russian army.
Ukraine war: ‘My brother saved my life - but lost his own’ - Maksym saved Ivan’s life in Bakhmut, then stayed to lead their men. A week later he was dead.
Why Turkey’s election is being closely followed in Africa - Whoever wins Sunday’s Turkish presidential run-off cannot ignore the country’s growing ties with Africa.
Germany Last Generation: Where car is king but protesters won’t let you drive - Cars are at the heart of the culture wars and anger at road-blocking tactics has led to armed raids.
At long last, the glorious future we were promised in space is on the way - “It is gratifying to see folks coming around.” - link
The lightning onset of AI—what suddenly changed? An Ars Frontiers 2023 recap - Google and Microsoft managers discussed tech’s hottest topic during Ars Frontiers. - link
Chinese state hackers infect critical infrastructure throughout the US and Guam - Group uses living-off-the-land attack and infected routers to remain undetected. - link
Sony confirms “PlayStation Q,” a handheld device for streaming PS5 games - The company also announced Bluetooth earbuds that work with PC, mobile, and PS5. - link
Alan Wake II coming in mid-October, promising another cryptic PC powerhouse - Control studio’s haunted novelist among the notable PlayStation announcements. - link
‘Bless me Father, for I have sinned. I have been with a loose girl.’ -
The priest asks, ‘Is that you, Joe?’ ‘Yes, Father’ ‘Who’s the gal you were with?’ ‘I won’t tell, I don’t want to ruin her reputation.’ ‘Was it Jane marlow?’ ‘I can’t say.’ ‘Was it Tami Jones?’ ‘I’ll never tell.’ ‘Kim Dixon or Kate James?’ ’My lips are sealed.
The priest sighs in frustration. ‘You’re very tight lipped, and I admire that. But you’ve sinned and have to atone. You cannot be an altar boy for a month.’
Joe walks back to his pew, and his friend Jordan whispers, ‘What’d you get?’ ‘A month’s vacation and four excellent Leads.’
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So a chicken walks into a library and says , “bock”. Sounding like “book” the librarian hands him a book. He takes it and goes happily on his way. Then the next day… -
The chicken says “bock bock”, and the librarian hands him two books. Away he went. The third day, chicken says “bock bock bock”, and the librarian hands him three books. And so on until the fifth day, when the chicken says “bock bock bock bock bock”, the librarian hands him five books and follows him to see what he’s doing with all these books.
There is a frog sitting across the way that the chicken takes the books to. The librarian, confused but curious, continues to follow the chicken. The chicken approaches the frog, says “bock bock bock bock bock”, places the five books into the frogs hands. The frog responds by tossing each book aside one by one, “reddit reddit reddit reddit reddit”!
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Officer: The victims were sacrificed to on a shrine made of antlers. -
Detective: Dear god ! Officer: Most likely yes.
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What’s made of leather and sounds like a sneeze? -
A shoe.
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My wife asked if she has any annoying habits… -
… and then she got all offended during the PowerPoint presentation
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